All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Scott Hiles Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/26 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
356 |
406 |
453 |
280 |
377 |
372 |
342 |
369 |
334 |
406 |
355 |
364 |
369 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
316 |
361 |
280 |
377 |
372 |
342 |
369 |
334 |
406 |
355 |
364 |
369 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Bloomington North Early Bird |
Scott Hiles Invitational |
Columbus North Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional |
Bedford North Lawr. Regional |
Brown County Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 14 |
Paul Rushton |
12 |
15:55 |
|
|
15:59 |
15:49 |
16:01 |
15:59 |
16:03 |
16:00 |
16:04 |
16:12 |
15:53 |
15:49 |
| 162 |
Mason Childers |
11 |
16:51 |
16:49 |
16:56 |
16:36 |
17:02 |
16:50 |
16:57 |
16:48 |
16:52 |
17:14 |
16:45 |
16:45 |
16:52 |
| 216 |
Nolan Bailey |
10 |
16:59 |
16:58 |
17:03 |
16:50 |
17:08 |
17:08 |
17:03 |
17:17 |
17:00 |
17:04 |
16:45 |
16:53 |
16:56 |
| 276 |
Henry Streib |
12 |
17:10 |
16:49 |
17:02 |
16:44 |
17:05 |
17:17 |
17:03 |
17:28 |
17:11 |
17:11 |
17:13 |
17:16 |
17:31 |
| 323 |
Eli Norrick |
10 |
17:15 |
17:49 |
17:22 |
17:26 |
17:33 |
17:11 |
17:03 |
17:34 |
17:18 |
17:22 |
17:22 |
17:26 |
17:08 |
| 392 |
Nathaniel Dixon |
12 |
17:22 |
17:07 |
17:37 |
16:57 |
17:25 |
17:21 |
17:05 |
18:16 |
16:54 |
18:06 |
|
|
|
| 439 |
Jake Talbert |
12 |
17:28 |
17:20 |
17:32 |
17:33 |
17:21 |
17:36 |
17:11 |
16:51 |
17:36 |
|
17:47 |
|
17:46 |
| 487 |
Elliott Campbell |
11 |
17:33 |
17:39 |
17:48 |
17:49 |
17:40 |
17:18 |
17:42 |
17:29 |
17:30 |
17:26 |
17:17 |
17:58 |
17:35 |
| 520 |
Nic Kaiser |
9 |
17:36 |
|
17:43 |
17:18 |
17:39 |
17:46 |
17:24 |
17:39 |
17:33 |
|
|
17:49 |
|
| 548 |
John Rushton |
10 |
17:38 |
17:44 |
17:55 |
17:35 |
17:41 |
17:40 |
17:41 |
17:36 |
17:32 |
|
|
|
|
| 562 |
Griffin Bruce |
10 |
17:39 |
17:36 |
17:21 |
18:24 |
18:42 |
17:22 |
17:48 |
17:34 |
17:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 605 |
Jack Nelson |
10 |
17:44 |
|
18:05 |
17:45 |
18:07 |
17:43 |
17:41 |
17:24 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 631 |
Liam Arthur |
10 |
17:46 |
17:48 |
17:56 |
17:36 |
17:47 |
17:44 |
17:53 |
|
17:45 |
|
|
|
|
| 778 |
Cole Weida |
12 |
18:00 |
17:37 |
17:45 |
18:04 |
18:18 |
17:57 |
17:58 |
18:02 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 937 |
Wade Wisler |
9 |
18:12 |
18:14 |
17:59 |
18:21 |
18:09 |
18:06 |
18:19 |
18:31 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 971 |
Kyle Clark |
9 |
18:15 |
18:28 |
17:58 |
18:37 |
18:12 |
18:09 |
18:26 |
18:38 |
17:55 |
|
|
|
|
| 986 |
Ethan Teske |
10 |
18:16 |
|
18:48 |
18:13 |
18:14 |
17:53 |
18:14 |
19:11 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,604 |
Max Holden |
9 |
18:59 |
18:57 |
18:59 |
18:49 |
18:49 |
18:57 |
18:59 |
19:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Luke Justis |
12 |
19:01 |
19:05 |
18:44 |
18:28 |
19:05 |
19:05 |
19:01 |
18:58 |
19:31 |
|
|
|
|
|
Louis Daley |
10 |
19:06 |
19:43 |
|
|
18:56 |
19:16 |
|
19:37 |
18:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Garrett Williams |
12 |
19:20 |
19:26 |
19:04 |
18:52 |
19:31 |
19:28 |
19:09 |
19:51 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
90.5% |
18.8 |
436 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
6.2 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
8.9 |
10.3 |
10.6 |
11.0 |
7.7 |
4.9 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
4.8 |
158 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
16.2 |
23.6 |
26.8 |
22.2 |
7.9 |
1.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.1 |
72 |
3.0 |
85.8 |
10.5 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
48 |
2.7 |
97.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paul Rushton |
100% |
14.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.7 |
4.3 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
1.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Mason Childers |
90.6% |
118.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
25.3% |
| Nolan Bailey |
90.5% |
137.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
8.4% |
| Henry Streib |
90.5% |
160.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.0% |
| Eli Norrick |
90.5% |
168.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.5% |
| Nathaniel Dixon |
90.5% |
178.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Jake Talbert |
90.5% |
184.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paul Rushton |
100% |
1.3 |
42.4 |
24.2 |
12.5 |
8.8 |
4.5 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mason Childers |
100% |
33.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Bailey |
100% |
43.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Streib |
100% |
57.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Eli Norrick |
100% |
63.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
99.9% |
| Nathaniel Dixon |
100% |
73.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.1% |
| Jake Talbert |
100% |
81.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
96.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paul Rushton |
100% |
1.0 |
65.5 |
20.4 |
8.3 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mason Childers |
100% |
12.6 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
3.3 |
5.3 |
7.4 |
8.6 |
7.5 |
9.1 |
9.6 |
8.3 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nolan Bailey |
100% |
16.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
6.4 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
7.8 |
8.4 |
9.6 |
10.3 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
5.1 |
3.0 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Streib |
100% |
20.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
6.2 |
7.4 |
9.9 |
12.3 |
12.5 |
10.7 |
8.0 |
6.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Eli Norrick |
100% |
22.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
4.5 |
6.9 |
9.8 |
12.3 |
13.5 |
10.8 |
10.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Nathaniel Dixon |
100% |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
6.0 |
8.1 |
12.6 |
11.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Jake Talbert |
100% |
27.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
6.4 |
10.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Paul Rushton |
1.0 |
70.7 |
20.2 |
6.7 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mason Childers |
8.0 |
|
|
0.4 |
2.4 |
4.0 |
11.2 |
17.2 |
14.6 |
12.4 |
12.3 |
11.9 |
8.4 |
4.2 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nolan Bailey |
10.5 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
6.3 |
9.6 |
10.6 |
12.9 |
13.0 |
17.2 |
17.4 |
6.8 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Henry Streib |
13.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
5.9 |
11.0 |
15.8 |
28.2 |
18.0 |
8.0 |
2.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Eli Norrick |
14.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
5.2 |
9.4 |
19.3 |
28.0 |
17.7 |
8.3 |
3.5 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Nathaniel Dixon |
15.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
3.5 |
6.9 |
15.5 |
29.4 |
22.1 |
13.1 |
4.7 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
| Jake Talbert |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
2.6 |
5.8 |
14.9 |
31.3 |
24.4 |
13.6 |
4.3 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
